00705naa#a2200193#i#450# EN\\bibl\98833 20251211143849.4 2072-9502 20250515b2025####ek#y0engy0150####ca RU Development of a model for predicting the safety characteristics of aviation transport systems over a time interval of several years Journal article Astrakhan Astrakhan State Technical University 2025 9 с. Journal article local Системный анализ. 303.732.4 Aseev Nikita Andreevich Kushnikov Vadim Alekseevich Bogomolov Aleksey Sergeevich vestnik.astu.org