TY JOUR TI Development of a model for predicting the safety characteristics of aviation transport systems over a time interval of several years KW aviation safety KW aviation transport system KW system dynamics KW forecasting KW system modeling KW operatio- nal safety JO Vestnik of Astrakhan State Technical University. Series: Management, computer science and informatics AU Aseev, N.. AU Kushnikov, V.. AU Bogomolov, A.. PY 2025 IS 2025 PB Astrakhan State Technical University